Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.009864 0.011880 0.014394 0.017834 0.022541 0.028951 0.038719
2024-10-20 0.007306 0.009533 0.012666 0.017628 0.025789 0.039799 0.068974
2024-10-27 0.006277 0.008660 0.012318 0.018803 0.031263 0.057900 0.136778
2024-11-03 0.005657 0.008157 0.012278 0.020331 0.038207 0.086235 0.309446
2024-11-10 0.005206 0.007791 0.012315 0.021962 0.046577 0.131346 0.883670
2024-11-17 0.004663 0.007151 0.011688 0.021973 0.051089 0.174520 2.547799
2024-11-24 0.004194 0.006556 0.011002 0.021596 0.054356 0.223238 10.536154
2024-12-01 0.003700 0.005843 0.009948 0.020002 0.052704 0.243052 40.780701
2024-12-08 0.003342 0.005335 0.009224 0.019036 0.052792 0.279704 3671.382418
2024-12-15 0.003110 0.005034 0.008879 0.018962 0.056391 0.367689 NaN
2024-12-22 0.002955 0.004858 0.008767 0.019498 0.063222 0.552387 NaN
2024-12-29 0.002788 0.004640 0.008527 0.019593 0.068340 0.794812 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002535 0.004250 0.007897 0.018513 0.067644 0.966061 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002360 0.004001 0.007562 0.018301 0.072149 1.517627 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002281 0.003939 0.007655 0.019540 0.088184 4.686443 NaN
2025-01-26 0.002223 0.003910 0.007823 0.021153 0.111807 44.516625 NaN
2025-02-02 0.002168 0.003882 0.007989 0.022879 0.143692 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.002056 0.003714 0.007754 0.022891 0.158536 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.001941 0.003530 0.007449 0.022492 0.168103 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.001797 0.003267 0.006893 0.020806 0.155308 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001685 0.003071 0.006503 0.019785 0.151766 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.001612 0.002957 0.006329 0.019707 0.164176 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.001563 0.002895 0.006292 0.020274 0.192013 NaN NaN